This journal will be an irregular account of my preparations for an unprecedented upheaval of our western society. It is based on my belief that there will be a collapse in both the supply of affordable fuel, and in the financial system. I’m hoping that there’s about five years left to make the transition from Prince to Frog. The Prince is how I have been living this last 50 years, with cheap oil doing the work of dozens of servants. The Frog is the shape of my future, much-reduced and circumscribed. I will be able to depend on no-one but myself and my family.
Les etapes de mon preparation au cas ou on va subir une degradatioin majeure de notre societe. Fioule et systeme economique. A ce moment je vis comme un prince, et mes servants sont les barrils de petrole. Sans eux je deviens une grenouille. Avec un bassin et quelques mouches – je me debrouille.
The ‘five years’ is quite arbitrary – the crash could catch me with my pants half-down, and my new nobbly skin not quite in place. Now if I choose to put my trust in the latest set of figures from the UK Department for Business, Enterprise & Regulatory Reform [BERR] here:
then everything will be all right. They assure me that oil will cost 85 dollars a barrel in a year or so.
But if I put my trust in the experts at TheOilDrum.com – then all is not well. Oil costs nearly 150 dollars a barrel already. And the rate of flow is not keeping up with demand. It’s fairly simple: a planet over-loaded with people all wanting a better life is finding it harder and harder to meet its fuel demands. If we can’t stop the population explosion and we can’t pump more oil – then we have a crash.
